烟草在线据《烟业通讯》报道编译　　菲莫国际总裁兼首席执行官路易斯·金瑞利称，预计在2015年以前，全球（中国除外）烟草行业的卷烟销量会有一个从保持稳定到每年持续小幅下滑1.3%的变化。

　　金瑞利11月13日在纽约摩根士丹利全球消费者零售会议上向投资者发言称，菲莫国际预计，非经合组织市场主要受有利人口驱动的进一步增加的销量，将被经合组织市场长期持续下滑的销量抵消掉。

　　菲莫国际预测，包括中国在内的国际卷烟市场将会有一个从保持稳定到每年有1.1%的增长幅度。

　　菲莫国际2012年全年有望达到中长期年度有机产量增长1%的目标。

　　同时，金瑞利表示，菲莫国际已完成了对3个“下一代产品（NGPs）平台”中首个平台的探索性临床研究，并计划明年再创建8个平台。菲莫国际在欧洲的首个下一代产品生产设备将于明年年中开工。

　　菲莫国际计划在未来3年内进行大量投资，使下一代产品的初期年产能达到大约300亿支。

　　下一代产品的商品化计划在2016至2017年期间完成。

World's Cigarette Volume Roughly Stable through 2015, Says PMI Chief

　　The international (excluding China) tobacco industry cigarette volume forecast through 2015 ranges from stable to a continued modest annual decline of up to 1.3 per cent, according to Philip Morris International's chairman and CEO, Louis Camilleri.

　　Addressing investors yesterday at the Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference in New York, Camilleri said that PMI expected further growth in non-OECD markets, driven mainly by favorable demographics, to be offset by a continued long-term decline in OECD markets.

　　Including China, PMI expects the international cigarette market to be stable to increasing by up to 1.1 per cent a year.

　　PMI expects to meet its mid- to long-term annual organic volume growth target of one per cent for the full-year 2012.

　　Meanwhile, Camilleri said that PMI had completed an exploratory clinical study for the first of its three 'Next Generation Product (NGPs) platforms' and planned to initiate a further eight next year.
Ground-breaking for PMI's first NGP manufacturing facility in Europe was planned to take place in the middle of next year, he added.

　　PMI plans to invest heavily during the next three years to establish an initial annual NGP capacity of about 30 billion units.

　　Commercialization of the NGPs is planned for 2016-2017. Enditem